ZIP code
85015
in Phoenix, ArizonaPopulation 41,490
43.77/ 100
Ranked #23,639 of 32,066 US ZIPs (bottom 26%)
Ranked #278 of 394 Arizona ZIPs (bottom 29%)
Ranked #135 of 159 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ ZIPs (bottom 15%)
Ranks are modeled estimates — ZIPs a few hundred places apart are effectively tied.
What defines this ZIP
Metrics where this ZIP sits in the tails of the national distribution — the ones that most set it apart. Select any tile for its definition and methodology.
Outer-floodplain exposure
98.5%
in the top 0.2% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST94thUS99thDefinition & source ›
The share of this ZIP’s land area inside FEMA’s 0.2%-annual-chance flood band — the “500-year” zone, a lower but real 1-in-500 yearly chance.
Measured from FEMA’s mapped flood panels. Where a panel has not been mapped, no value is published for that ZIP — those ZIPs are absent from this comparison rather than counted as unexposed.
Full methodology ›Dry extreme heat
135 days/year
in the top 0.3% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST85thUS99thDefinition & source ›
The average number of days per year with a modeled daily high of at least 95 °F.
Full methodology ›Colon-cancer screening
51.5%
in the bottom 2.7% nationally
Higher is healthier
ST22ndUS3rdDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults aged 45–75 who are up to date on colorectal-cancer screening.
Full methodology ›Uninsured (under 65)
20.1%
in the top 4.5% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST89thUS96thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults aged 18–64 with no current health-insurance coverage.
Full methodology ›Loud transportation noise
3.9%
in the top 2.3% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST99thUS98thDefinition & source ›
The modeled share of residents exposed to average road, rail, and aviation noise at or above 65 decibels — around the volume of normal conversation.
Full methodology ›Homeownership rate
34.6%
in the bottom 4.0% nationally
Higher is healthier
ST6thUS4thDefinition & source ›
The share of occupied homes that are owned, rather than rented, by the people living in them.
Full methodology ›Tree cover
0.00%
at the national minimum
Higher is healthier
ST1stUS1stDefinition & source ›
The share of this ZIP’s land area covered by forest.
Full methodology ›Transportation noise
12.5%
in the top 5.9% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST96thUS94thDefinition & source ›
The modeled share of residents exposed to average road, rail, and aviation noise at or above 55 decibels — a noticeable background presence.
Full methodology ›Lithium in drinking water
70 µg/L
in the top 6.0% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST61stUS94thDefinition & source ›
The average detected level of lithium — a natural trace metal with no federal drinking-water limit yet — across the public water systems serving this ZIP, in micrograms per liter.
Measured from EPA records for the public water systems that serve this ZIP. Households on private wells — roughly 30% of the US population — are not covered by this measure, and this figure says nothing about their water.
Full methodology ›Crowded housing
8.5%
in the top 6.0% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST78thUS94thDefinition & source ›
The share of occupied homes with more than one person per room, the Census definition of crowded housing.
Full methodology ›The read
In overall standing, ZIP 85015, one of several in Phoenix, Arizona comes out in the bottom 26% nationally (23,639th) and the bottom 29% of Arizona (278th).
The data is direct about where this area carries real strain: outer-floodplain exposure lies in the top 0.2% nationally, modeled extreme heat sits in the top 0.3% nationally, and modeled colon screening settles in the bottom 2.7% nationally. Modeled uninsured registers in the top 4.5% nationally, modeled loud transportation noise stands in the top 2.3% nationally, and homeownership lands in the bottom 4.0% nationally. Modeled tree cover is at the national minimum, and transportation noise resides in the top 5.9% nationally. Lithium in drinking water rests in the top 6.0% nationally. More encouragingly, distance to an emergency room lies at the national minimum, shared with about 11% of ZIPs.
Relative to the ZIPs around it, outer-floodplain exposure runs far higher than the surrounding ZIPs on this measure. In plain terms, lithium in drinking water is a natural metal that dissolves into some groundwater and has no federal drinking-water limit yet. Outer-floodplain exposure is land with a lower but real 1-in-500 chance of flooding each year, nicknamed the "500-year floodplain". Extreme heat is a modeled count of days a year reaching a dangerously high temperature, a leading weather hazard. The nearest healthier ZIP overall is ZIP 85013, just across the boundary.
What’s driving this score
Nine domains make up the ZipVitals Score — here is how this ZIP does on each, and how much each one counts. Compare it against the US, this state and the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro area.
Compared with the ZIP codes measured across all nine scoring domains — not with all US ZIP codes.
Lifting this score
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 75%
21%
Mental Health
healthier than 64%
8%
Healthcare Access
in the top 0.00%
5%
Holding it back
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 17%
16%
Environmental Hazard
healthier than 4%
14%
Preventive Care
healthier than 3%
13%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 39%
11%
Disability
healthier than 30%
7%
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 16%
5%
Lifting this score
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 71%
21%
Healthcare Access
in the top 0.00%
5%
About typical
Disability
healthier than 41%
7%
Holding it back
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 24%
16%
Environmental Hazard
healthier than 5%
14%
Preventive Care
healthier than 23%
13%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 25%
11%
Mental Health
healthier than 28%
8%
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 37%
5%
Lifting this score
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 67%
5%
Healthcare Access
in the top 0.00%
5%
About typical
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 46%
21%
Holding it back
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 12%
16%
Environmental Hazard
healthier than 11%
14%
Preventive Care
healthier than 16%
13%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 16%
11%
Mental Health
healthier than 13%
8%
Disability
healthier than 20%
7%
“Share” is how much of this ZIP’s score the domain accounts for. Percentages are rounded; higher is healthier in every domain. How the score works, and who it compares you with ›
Findings that name this ZIP
3 of our published findings list this ZIP code. Each finding compares one published measure against a stated benchmark, and names only the ZIP codes whose estimates are reliable enough to rank. See all surprising findings.
Below what income predicts
The ZIP codes that outlive their incomes
Estimated life expectancy is 75.7 ± 1.4 years. A median household income of $54,874 predicts 77.7 years — 2.0 years below.
Ranked #2,579 of the 5,842 ZIP codes this finding names, ordered by years above what income predicts, highest first.
Below its nearby ZIPs
The ZIP codes that outlive their neighbors
Estimated life expectancy is 75.7 ± 1.4 years. The 41 nearest ZIP codes with estimates average 77.7 years — 2.0 years below them.
Ranked #1,589 of the 3,687 ZIP codes this finding names, ordered by years above the nearby-ZIP average, highest first.
Heavy environment, light chronic burden
Where the environment and chronic illness point in opposite directions
Environmental-hazard standing 4.5 (bottom 10%); chronic-disease standing 74.5 — 70 points apart, heavier on the environment than it is on chronic illness.
Ranked #16,385 of the 18,187 ZIP codes this finding names, ordered by the gap from cleanest environment to heaviest chronic burden, highest first.
Nearby & similar ZIPs
Editorially selected — see how this ZIP compares to nearby and similar places.
Nearby
85007
Arizonashares a border
Score 41.48
Closest healthier
85013
Arizonashares a border
Score 56.72
Similar health profile
91763
California98% similar profile
Score 45.59
How these were chosen: only ZIPs with a published Score appear — a nearby ZIP with too little data to score won’t. Nearby means closest by distance between ZIP boundaries, which can cross state lines. A similar health profile is a close match across the nine Score domains, not similar demographics. Distances are measured between ZIP boundaries — ZIPs that touch share a border. How distance is measured
Evidence
Every measure this page draws on, by source. Collapsed by default — the full data stays in the page for search engines either way.
Health OutcomesCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Arthritis among adults | 21.4% | 19.8–23.0 |
| High blood pressure among adults | 30.9% | 28.8–33.1 |
| Cancer (non-skin) or melanoma among adults | 5.8% | 5.3–6.2 |
| Current asthma among adults | 10.8% | 9.8–11.9 |
| Coronary heart disease among adults | 5.6% | 5.1–6.1 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among adults | 6.6% | 6.0–7.2 |
| Depression among adults | 19.5% | 17.6–21.6 |
| Diagnosed diabetes among adults | 12.3% | 11.2–13.4 |
| High cholesterol among adults who have ever been screened | 34.6% | 32.3–36.9 |
| Obesity among adults | 35.4% | 31.7–39.2 |
| Stroke among adults | 3.3% | 3.0–3.5 |
| All teeth lost among adults aged >=65 years | 19.2% | 16.7–21.8 |
PreventionCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Current lack of health insurance among adults aged 18-64 years | 20.1% | 18.1–22.2 |
| Taking medicine to control high blood pressure among adults with high blood pressure | 68.4% | 66.0–70.8 |
| Visits to doctor for routine checkup within the past year among adults | 70.5% | 67.8–73.1 |
| Cholesterol screening among adults | 80.4% | 78.6–82.2 |
| Colorectal cancer screening among adults aged 45–75 years | 51.5% | 48.2–54.9 |
| Visited dentist or dental clinic in the past year among adults | 48.6% | 45.9–51.4 |
| Mammography use among women aged 50-74 years | 71.4% | 66.5–76.2 |
Health Risk BehaviorsCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Binge drinking among adults | 15.4% | 13.6–17.3 |
| Current cigarette smoking among adults | 14.9% | 13.4–16.5 |
| No leisure-time physical activity among adults | 27.0% | 24.3–29.6 |
| Short sleep duration among adults | 39.6% | 36.1–43.3 |
Health StatusCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Fair or poor self-rated health status among adults | 25.1% | 23.0–27.1 |
| Frequent mental distress among adults | 17.8% | 16.2–19.3 |
| Frequent physical distress among adults | 14.1% | 12.8–15.3 |
DisabilityCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Cognitive disability among adults | 18.1% | 16.5–19.7 |
| Any disability among adults | 34.7% | 32.0–37.2 |
| Hearing disability among adults | 7.0% | 6.3–7.6 |
| Independent living disability among adults | 9.8% | 8.9–10.7 |
| Mobility disability among adults | 15.0% | 13.7–16.3 |
| Self-care disability among adults | 4.9% | 4.5–5.3 |
| Vision disability among adults | 7.9% | 7.2–8.5 |
Health-Related Social NeedsCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Lack of social and emotional support among adults | 29.5% | 27.1–32.1 |
| Food insecurity in the past 12 months among adults | 28.0% | 25.6–30.4 |
| Received food stamps in the past 12 months among adults | 22.2% | 20.0–24.5 |
| Housing insecurity in the past 12 months among adults | 20.0% | 18.1–22.0 |
| Lack of reliable transportation in the past 12 months among adults | 14.3% | 13.0–15.7 |
| Loneliness among adults | 35.3% | 32.6–38.2 |
| Utility services shut-off threat in the past 12 months among adults | 12.0% | 10.7–13.4 |
Community & economyCensus ACS 5-Year · 2024 release · observed
| Measure | Value | US median (p10–p90) | AZ median (p10–p90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poverty rate | 20.2% | 10.6% (3.1–25.8%) n=32,364 | 12.8% (4.6–36.9%) n=396 |
| Uninsured 18–64 | 20.4% | 9.0% (1.5–24.3%) n=32,286 | 14.0% (5.0–32.9%) n=394 |
| No HS diploma (25+) | 20.5% | 7.9% (1.8–20.7%) n=32,505 | 9.3% (2.0–25.9%) n=397 |
| Bachelor's or higher (25+) | 26.4% | 23.3% (9.2–53.6%) n=32,505 | 23.8% (6.0–53.1%) n=397 |
| Unemployment rate (16+) | 6.2% | 3.9% (0.0–9.8%) n=32,274 | 4.8% (0.0–14.3%) n=395 |
| Households without a vehicle | 15.6% | 3.9% (0.0–12.5%) n=32,322 | 3.7% (0.0–14.3%) n=394 |
| Broadband subscription | 87.1% | 89.3% (75.1–97.1%) n=32,322 | 90.4% (57.1–97.2%) n=394 |
| Housing cost burden (≥30% income) | 43.8% | 23.7% (10.6–40.0%) n=32,322 | 25.5% (8.5–37.5%) n=394 |
| Homeownership rate | 34.6% | 78.7% (51.7–94.0%) n=32,322 | 76.3% (44.6–92.8%) n=394 |
| Crowded housing (>1 per room) | 8.5% | 1.3% (0.0–6.3%) n=32,322 | 3.3% (0.0–15.7%) n=394 |
| Foreign-born population | 26.4% | 2.6% (0.0–18.6%) n=32,553 | 7.6% (0.0–20.4%) n=397 |
| Single-parent households | 32.1% | 53.6% (37.3–74.1%) n=32,087 | 51.4% (30.6–79.7%) n=388 |
| Population 65+ | 9.7% | 19.4% (10.8–33.6%) n=32,553 | 19.0% (8.0–46.8%) n=397 |
| Median age | 32.2 yr | 42.2 yr (33.0–56.3) n=32,292 | 40.9 yr (30.0–62.5) n=394 |
| Median household income | $54,874 | $72,070 ($46,039–$118,707) n=30,318 | $69,137 ($39,000–$114,111) n=371 |
| Median home value | $345,000 | $222,200 ($100,300–$579,820) n=30,049 | $326,300 ($73,560–$591,760) n=363 |
| Median gross rent | $1,287 | $1,021 ($677–$1,912) n=25,670 | $1,303 ($683–$2,093) n=323 |
Life expectancyNCHS / RWJF USALEEP · model-based
| Measure | Value | US median (p10–p90) | AZ median (p10–p90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Life expectancy at birth | 75.7 yr ± 0.70 | 78.9 yr (74.7–82.8) n=31,308 | 78.5 yr (75.1–82.8) n=354 |
About the ± — it’s this estimate’s give-or-take (statisticians call it the standard error). The true life expectancy for this ZIP most likely falls within 0.70 years of 75.7, and it’s very unlikely to be off by more than twice that.
More ZIPs to explore ▾More ZIPs to explore ▴
How these lists were built: they draw only from ZIPs that have a published Score, so ZIPs with too little data to score are not listed. Distance-based lists use distance between ZIP boundaries with no state filter, so an out-of-state ZIP can appear. Statistically similar means a close match across the nine Score domains, not a demographic match: the measure is the cosine similarity between two ZIPs’ domain scores, taken over the domains both ZIPs have data for and only where that overlap covers at least six of the nine — and where no ZIP clears that minimum-overlap floor, that list is left out rather than filled with a weak match. How distance is measured