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ZipVitals

ZIP code

95351

in Modesto, CaliforniaPopulation 48,498

33.91/ 100

Ranked #29,771 of 32,066 US ZIPs (bottom 7.2%)

Ranked #1,629 of 1,719 California ZIPs (bottom 5.3%)

Ranked #25 of 26 Modesto, CA ZIPs (bottom 3.9%)

Ranks are modeled estimates — ZIPs a few hundred places apart are effectively tied.

Robust across all 9 health domains

What defines this ZIP

Metrics where this ZIP sits in the tails of the national distribution — the ones that most set it apart. Select any tile for its definition and methodology.

Colon-cancer screening

48.2%

in the bottom 1.5% nationally

Higher is healthier

ST7th
US1st
Definition & source ›

The estimated share of adults aged 45–75 who are up to date on colorectal-cancer screening.

Full methodology ›

Uninsured (under 65)

23%

in the top 3.0% nationally

Lower is healthier

ST95th
US97th
Definition & source ›

The estimated share of adults aged 18–64 with no current health-insurance coverage.

Full methodology ›

Fair or poor health

35.2%

in the top 2.6% nationally

Lower is healthier

ST95th
US97th
Definition & source ›

The estimated share of adults who rate their own general health as fair or poor.

Full methodology ›

Vision disability

10.8%

in the top 3.4% nationally

Lower is healthier

ST95th
US97th
Definition & source ›

The estimated share of adults who are blind or have serious difficulty seeing even with glasses.

Full methodology ›

Crowded housing

16.4%

in the top 1.9% nationally

Lower is healthier

ST91st
US98th
Definition & source ›

The share of occupied homes with more than one person per room, the Census definition of crowded housing.

Full methodology ›

Fine-particle (PM2.5) exceedance

3.4%

in the top 2.0% nationally

Lower is healthier

ST79th
US98th
Definition & source ›

The share of days in the year when modeled fine-particle (PM2.5) pollution was above the EPA’s daily limit of 35 micrograms per cubic meter.

Full methodology ›

Dry extreme heat

93.2 days/year

in the top 2.1% nationally

Lower is healthier

ST90th
US98th
Definition & source ›

The average number of days per year with a modeled daily high of at least 95 °F.

Full methodology ›

Lead in tap water

10 ppb

in the top 2.4% nationally

Lower is healthier

US98th
Definition & source ›

The lead level at the 90th percentile of tap-water samples reported by the public water systems serving this ZIP, in parts per billion — the EPA requires action above 15 ppb.

Measured from EPA records for the public water systems that serve this ZIP. Households on private wells — roughly 30% of the US population — are not covered by this measure, and this figure says nothing about their water.

Full methodology ›

Housing insecurity

27.6%

in the top 2.6% nationally

Lower is healthier

ST94th
US97th
Definition & source ›

The estimated share of adults who experienced housing insecurity in the past 12 months.

Full methodology ›

Cognitive disability

22%

in the top 3.9% nationally

Lower is healthier

ST94th
US96th
Definition & source ›

The estimated share of adults with serious difficulty concentrating, remembering, or making decisions.

Full methodology ›

The read

ZIP 95351, one of several in Modesto, California ranks in the bottom 7.2% nationally (29,771st) and the bottom 5.3% of California (1,629th).

continue reading

A number of readings press hard on the profile and set its tone: modeled colon screening registers in the bottom 1.5% nationally, and uninsured lies in the top 3.0% nationally. Modeled fair or poor health is in the top 2.6% nationally, and vision disability registers in the top 3.4% nationally. Crowded housing lies in the top 1.9% nationally, modeled fine-particle is in the top 2.0% nationally, and modeled extreme heat registers in the top 2.1% nationally. Lead in tap water lies in the top 2.4% nationally, modeled housing insecurity is in the top 2.6% nationally, and modeled cognitive disability registers in the top 3.9% nationally.

Against its neighbors, outer-floodplain exposure runs far higher than the surrounding ZIPs on this measure. For context, fine-particle is fine airborne particles about one-thirtieth the width of a hair, counted on modeled days above the EPA standard. Lead in tap water is the EPA trigger, 15 parts per billion in tap samples, above which a water system must act on lead. Extreme heat is a modeled count of days a year reaching a dangerously high temperature, a leading weather hazard. The closest ZIP that ranks healthier overall is ZIP 95307, just across the boundary.

What’s driving this score

Nine domains make up the ZipVitals Score — here is how this ZIP does on each, and how much each one counts. Compare it against the US, this state and the Modesto, CA metro area.

Compared with the ZIP codes measured across all nine scoring domains — not with all US ZIP codes.

Compare within

Lifting this score

Chronic Disease Burden

healthier than 66%

21%

Healthcare Access

healthier than 87%

5%

Holding it back

Social Need / SDOH

healthier than 3%

16%

Environmental Hazard

healthier than 3%

14%

Preventive Care

healthier than 1%

13%

Risk Behavior

healthier than 9%

11%

Mental Health

healthier than 28%

8%

Disability

healthier than 7%

7%

Climate / Disaster Risk

healthier than 13%

5%

Lifting this score

Healthcare Access

healthier than 73%

5%

Holding it back

Chronic Disease Burden

healthier than 32%

21%

Social Need / SDOH

healthier than 5%

16%

Environmental Hazard

healthier than 15%

14%

Preventive Care

healthier than 6%

13%

Risk Behavior

healthier than 3%

11%

Mental Health

healthier than 18%

8%

Disability

healthier than 7%

7%

Climate / Disaster Risk

healthier than 12%

5%

Lifting this score

Healthcare Access

healthier than 72%

5%

About typical

Environmental Hazard

healthier than 44%

14%

Holding it back

Chronic Disease Burden

healthier than 16%

21%

Social Need / SDOH

in the bottom 0.00%

16%

Preventive Care

in the bottom 0.00%

13%

Risk Behavior

in the bottom 0.00%

11%

Mental Health

healthier than 12%

8%

Disability

in the bottom 0.00%

7%

Climate / Disaster Risk

healthier than 20%

5%

“Share” is how much of this ZIP’s score the domain accounts for. Percentages are rounded; higher is healthier in every domain. How the score works, and who it compares you with ›

Findings that name this ZIP

2 of our published findings list this ZIP code. Each finding compares one published measure against a stated benchmark, and names only the ZIP codes whose estimates are reliable enough to rank. See all surprising findings.

  • Heavy environment, light chronic burden

    Where the environment and chronic illness point in opposite directions

    Environmental-hazard standing 3.2 (bottom 10%); chronic-disease standing 66.4 — 63 points apart, heavier on the environment than it is on chronic illness.

    Ranked #15,724 of the 18,187 ZIP codes this finding names, ordered by the gap from cleanest environment to heaviest chronic burden, highest first.

  • Highest-risk tenth

    Air toxics and the years between the two ends of the risk scale

    Modeled air-toxics cancer risk is 40.0 cases per million — among the tenth of compared ZIP codes with the most. Estimated life expectancy is 78.0 ± 1.5 years.

    Ranked #504 of the 4,173 ZIP codes this finding names, ordered by modeled air-toxics risk, highest first.

Nearby & similar ZIPs

Editorially selected — see how this ZIP compares to nearby and similar places.

How these were chosen: only ZIPs with a published Score appear — a nearby ZIP with too little data to score won’t. Nearby means closest by distance between ZIP boundaries, which can cross state lines. A similar health profile is a close match across the nine Score domains, not similar demographics. Distances are measured between ZIP boundaries — ZIPs that touch share a border. How distance is measured

Evidence

Every measure this page draws on, by source. Collapsed by default — the full data stays in the page for search engines either way.

Health OutcomesCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
MeasureCrude prevalence95% CI
Arthritis among adults21.9%19.4–24.7
High blood pressure among adults32.8%29.2–36.6
Cancer (non-skin) or melanoma among adults4.6%4.2–5.1
Current asthma among adults10.2%9.0–11.5
Coronary heart disease among adults6.7%6.1–7.5
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among adults7.0%6.3–7.8
Depression among adults20.8%17.8–24.3
Diagnosed diabetes among adults14.7%12.9–16.7
High cholesterol among adults who have ever been screened34.6%30.8–38.6
Obesity among adults40.6%34.1–47.4
Stroke among adults3.9%3.6–4.2
All teeth lost among adults aged >=65 years19.1%15.9–22.7
PreventionCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
MeasureCrude prevalence95% CI
Current lack of health insurance among adults aged 18-64 years23.0%20.5–25.7
Taking medicine to control high blood pressure among adults with high blood pressure67.5%64.2–70.7
Visits to doctor for routine checkup within the past year among adults68.5%64.4–72.5
Cholesterol screening among adults78.4%76.1–80.6
Colorectal cancer screening among adults aged 45–75 years48.2%43.2–53.4
Visited dentist or dental clinic in the past year among adults45.8%42.3–49.5
Mammography use among women aged 50-74 years71.0%63.2–78.2
Health Risk BehaviorsCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
MeasureCrude prevalence95% CI
Binge drinking among adults15.8%13.1–18.9
Current cigarette smoking among adults17.1%14.9–19.5
No leisure-time physical activity among adults39.9%35.0–45.0
Short sleep duration among adults38.8%33.0–44.8
Health StatusCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
MeasureCrude prevalence95% CI
Fair or poor self-rated health status among adults35.2%31.8–38.6
Frequent mental distress among adults21.0%18.7–23.4
Frequent physical distress among adults18.9%16.8–21.1
DisabilityCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
MeasureCrude prevalence95% CI
Cognitive disability among adults22.0%19.8–24.4
Any disability among adults43.1%38.6–47.7
Hearing disability among adults7.2%6.4–8.1
Independent living disability among adults12.9%11.6–14.3
Mobility disability among adults20.4%18.2–22.8
Self-care disability among adults6.8%6.2–7.4
Vision disability among adults10.8%9.9–11.7
Health-Related Social NeedsCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
MeasureCrude prevalence95% CI
Lack of social and emotional support among adults32.1%28.0–36.1
Food insecurity in the past 12 months among adults35.5%32.0–39.1
Received food stamps in the past 12 months among adults34.3%31.2–37.6
Housing insecurity in the past 12 months among adults27.6%24.6–30.7
Lack of reliable transportation in the past 12 months among adults17.8%15.9–19.7
Loneliness among adults38.1%33.1–42.9
Utility services shut-off threat in the past 12 months among adults14.8%13.0–16.6
Community & economyCensus ACS 5-Year · 2024 release · observed
MeasureValueUS median (p10–p90)CA median (p10–p90)
Poverty rate22.4%10.6% (3.1–25.8%) n=32,36410.6% (4.1–24.9%) n=1,714
Uninsured 18–6414.9%9.0% (1.5–24.3%) n=32,2867.7% (1.7–17.9%) n=1,704
No HS diploma (25+)37.2%7.9% (1.8–20.7%) n=32,5059.8% (1.4–30.9%) n=1,729
Bachelor's or higher (25+)7.1%23.3% (9.2–53.6%) n=32,50531.3% (9.9–68.2%) n=1,729
Unemployment rate (16+)13.6%3.9% (0.0–9.8%) n=32,2746.1% (0.8–12.0%) n=1,714
Households without a vehicle9.1%3.9% (0.0–12.5%) n=32,3224.5% (0.0–12.2%) n=1,708
Broadband subscription91.5%89.3% (75.1–97.1%) n=32,32293.4% (82.1–98.4%) n=1,708
Housing cost burden (≥30% income)44.3%23.7% (10.6–40.0%) n=32,32238.6% (24.4–50.5%) n=1,708
Homeownership rate48.3%78.7% (51.7–94.0%) n=32,32264.1% (31.9–86.4%) n=1,708
Crowded housing (>1 per room)16.4%1.3% (0.0–6.3%) n=32,3224.8% (0.0–15.9%) n=1,708
Foreign-born population31.3%2.6% (0.0–18.6%) n=32,55318.9% (3.0–40.4%) n=1,730
Single-parent households36.0%53.6% (37.3–74.1%) n=32,08748.4% (35.1–72.3%) n=1,692
Population 65+9.2%19.4% (10.8–33.6%) n=32,55317.0% (9.7–35.7%) n=1,730
Median age29.7 yr42.2 yr (33.0–56.3) n=32,29240.1 yr (31.8–57.0) n=1,712
Median household income$58,275$72,070 ($46,039–$118,707) n=30,318$93,448 ($54,188–$159,562) n=1,584
Median home value$343,500$222,200 ($100,300–$579,820) n=30,049$659,800 ($300,520–$1,493,340) n=1,593
Median gross rent$1,465$1,021 ($677–$1,912) n=25,670$1,912 ($1,113–$2,923) n=1,461
Life expectancyNCHS / RWJF USALEEP · model-based
MeasureValueUS median (p10–p90)CA median (p10–p90)
Life expectancy at birth78.0 yr ± 0.7578.9 yr (74.7–82.8) n=31,30880.5 yr (76.7–83.8) n=1,665

About the ± — it’s this estimate’s give-or-take (statisticians call it the standard error). The true life expectancy for this ZIP most likely falls within 0.75 years of 78.0, and it’s very unlikely to be off by more than twice that.

More ZIPs to explore ▾

How these lists were built: they draw only from ZIPs that have a published Score, so ZIPs with too little data to score are not listed. Distance-based lists use distance between ZIP boundaries with no state filter, so an out-of-state ZIP can appear. Statistically similar means a close match across the nine Score domains, not a demographic match: the measure is the cosine similarity between two ZIPs’ domain scores, taken over the domains both ZIPs have data for and only where that overlap covers at least six of the nine — and where no ZIP clears that minimum-overlap floor, that list is left out rather than filled with a weak match. How distance is measured