ZIP code
85388
in Surprise, ArizonaPopulation 35,369
59.19/ 100
Ranked #5,455 of 32,066 US ZIPs (top 17%)
Ranked #81 of 394 Arizona ZIPs (top 21%)
Ranked #53 of 159 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ ZIPs (top 33%)
Ranks are modeled estimates — ZIPs a few hundred places apart are effectively tied.
What defines this ZIP
Metrics where this ZIP sits in the tails of the national distribution — the ones that most set it apart. Select any tile for its definition and methodology.
Outer-floodplain exposure
98.6%
in the top 0.2% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST94thUS99thDefinition & source ›
The share of this ZIP’s land area inside FEMA’s 0.2%-annual-chance flood band — the “500-year” zone, a lower but real 1-in-500 yearly chance.
Measured from FEMA’s mapped flood panels. Where a panel has not been mapped, no value is published for that ZIP — those ZIPs are absent from this comparison rather than counted as unexposed.
Full methodology ›Dry extreme heat
121.8 days/year
in the top 0.7% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST63rdUS99thDefinition & source ›
The average number of days per year with a modeled daily high of at least 95 °F.
Full methodology ›Lead in tap water
0 ppb
at the national minimum
Lower is healthier
US1stDefinition & source ›
The lead level at the 90th percentile of tap-water samples reported by the public water systems serving this ZIP, in parts per billion — the EPA requires action above 15 ppb.
Measured from EPA records for the public water systems that serve this ZIP. Households on private wells — roughly 30% of the US population — are not covered by this measure, and this figure says nothing about their water.
Full methodology ›Tree cover
0.00%
at the national minimum
Higher is healthier
ST1stUS1stDefinition & source ›
The share of this ZIP’s land area covered by forest.
Full methodology ›Home broadband subscription
98.4%
in the top 6.7% nationally
Higher is healthier
ST96thUS93rdDefinition & source ›
The share of households with a broadband internet subscription.
Full methodology ›Lithium in drinking water
63 µg/L
in the top 8.1% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST44thUS92ndDefinition & source ›
The average detected level of lithium — a natural trace metal with no federal drinking-water limit yet — across the public water systems serving this ZIP, in micrograms per liter.
Measured from EPA records for the public water systems that serve this ZIP. Households on private wells — roughly 30% of the US population — are not covered by this measure, and this figure says nothing about their water.
Full methodology ›Coronary heart disease
4.7%
in the bottom 7.0% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST11thUS7thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults who have been told by a health professional that they have coronary heart disease or angina.
Full methodology ›High blood pressure
28.5%
in the bottom 7.0% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST14thUS7thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults who have been told by a health professional that they have high blood pressure.
Full methodology ›Fatal road crashes
3.1 per 100,000 residents per year
in the bottom 11.0% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST7thUS11thDefinition & source ›
The annual rate of fatal road crashes per 100,000 residents, pooled over a ten-year window.
A rate per resident population. Where a ZIP has too few residents for the rate to be reliable — about 30% of US ZIPs — no value is published rather than an unstable one; those ZIPs are absent from this comparison, not counted as crash-free.
Full methodology ›Stroke
2.6%
in the bottom 8.3% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST11thUS8thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults who have been told by a health professional that they have had a stroke.
Full methodology ›The read
ZIP 85388, one of several in Surprise, Arizona, on the composite measure, lands in the top 17% healthiest ZIPs nationally (5,455th) and the top 21% of Arizona (81st).
The profile cuts both ways, and the readings bear that out: lead in tap water sits at the national minimum, home broadband subscription registers in the top 6.7% nationally, and modeled coronary heart disease lands in the bottom 7.0% nationally. Modeled high blood pressure resides in the bottom 7.0% nationally, fatal road crashes lies in the bottom 11.0% nationally, and modeled stroke settles in the bottom 8.3% nationally. Working the other way, outer-floodplain exposure stands in the top 0.2% nationally, and modeled extreme heat is in the top 0.7% nationally. Modeled tree cover rests at the national minimum, and lithium in drinking water sits in the top 8.1% nationally.
Set against the neighboring ZIPs, outer-floodplain exposure runs far higher than the surrounding ZIPs on this measure. In everyday language, lead in tap water is the EPA trigger, 15 parts per billion in tap samples, above which a water system must act on lead. Lithium in drinking water is a natural metal that dissolves into some groundwater and has no federal drinking-water limit yet. Outer-floodplain exposure is land with a lower but real 1-in-500 chance of flooding each year, nicknamed the "500-year floodplain". A healthier neighbor overall sits at ZIP 85309, about 2.5 miles away.
What’s driving this score
Nine domains make up the ZipVitals Score — here is how this ZIP does on each, and how much each one counts. Compare it against the US, this state and the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro area.
Compared with the ZIP codes measured across all nine scoring domains — not with all US ZIP codes.
Lifting this score
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 88%
21%
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 75%
16%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 77%
11%
Mental Health
healthier than 79%
8%
Disability
healthier than 85%
7%
Healthcare Access
healthier than 65%
5%
About typical
Environmental Hazard
healthier than 60%
14%
Holding it back
Preventive Care
healthier than 24%
13%
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 18%
5%
Lifting this score
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 87%
21%
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 69%
16%
Disability
healthier than 89%
7%
Healthcare Access
healthier than 62%
5%
About typical
Preventive Care
healthier than 60%
13%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 56%
11%
Mental Health
healthier than 52%
8%
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 46%
5%
Holding it back
Environmental Hazard
healthier than 36%
14%
Lifting this score
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 75%
21%
Environmental Hazard
healthier than 66%
14%
Disability
healthier than 77%
7%
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 83%
5%
About typical
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 52%
16%
Preventive Care
healthier than 51%
13%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 51%
11%
Mental Health
healthier than 42%
8%
Holding it back
Healthcare Access
healthier than 40%
5%
“Share” is how much of this ZIP’s score the domain accounts for. Percentages are rounded; higher is healthier in every domain. How the score works, and who it compares you with ›
Findings that name this ZIP
One of our published findings lists this ZIP code. Each finding compares one published measure against a stated benchmark, and names only the ZIP codes whose estimates are reliable enough to rank. See all surprising findings.
Below what income predicts
The ZIP codes that outlive their incomes
Estimated life expectancy is 77.8 ± 1.3 years. A median household income of $112,164 predicts 80.5 years — 2.8 years below.
Ranked #3,825 of the 5,842 ZIP codes this finding names, ordered by years above what income predicts, highest first.
Nearby & similar ZIPs
Editorially selected — see how this ZIP compares to nearby and similar places.
Nearby
85355
Arizonashares a border
Score 57.74
Closest healthier
85309
Arizonaabout 2.5 mi away
Score 61.94
Similar health profile
85142
Arizona99% similar profile
Score 60.24
How these were chosen: only ZIPs with a published Score appear — a nearby ZIP with too little data to score won’t. Nearby means closest by distance between ZIP boundaries, which can cross state lines. A similar health profile is a close match across the nine Score domains, not similar demographics. Distances are measured between ZIP boundaries — ZIPs that touch share a border. How distance is measured
Evidence
Every measure this page draws on, by source. Collapsed by default — the full data stays in the page for search engines either way.
Health OutcomesCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Arthritis among adults | 22.2% | 20.5–23.9 |
| High blood pressure among adults | 28.5% | 26.4–30.6 |
| Cancer (non-skin) or melanoma among adults | 7.7% | 7.1–8.3 |
| Current asthma among adults | 10.5% | 9.5–11.5 |
| Coronary heart disease among adults | 4.7% | 4.2–5.1 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among adults | 5.0% | 4.5–5.6 |
| Depression among adults | 19.9% | 17.9–22.0 |
| Diagnosed diabetes among adults | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0 |
| High cholesterol among adults who have ever been screened | 34.9% | 32.5–37.3 |
| Obesity among adults | 30.0% | 26.6–33.6 |
| Stroke among adults | 2.6% | 2.4–2.8 |
| All teeth lost among adults aged >=65 years | 9.5% | 8.0–11.2 |
PreventionCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Current lack of health insurance among adults aged 18-64 years | 9.6% | 8.4–11.0 |
| Taking medicine to control high blood pressure among adults with high blood pressure | 70.5% | 67.9–73.0 |
| Visits to doctor for routine checkup within the past year among adults | 72.7% | 70.2–75.2 |
| Cholesterol screening among adults | 86.0% | 84.6–87.4 |
| Colorectal cancer screening among adults aged 45–75 years | 60.1% | 56.9–63.3 |
| Visited dentist or dental clinic in the past year among adults | 63.8% | 61.3–66.4 |
| Mammography use among women aged 50-74 years | 76.8% | 72.4–81.0 |
Health Risk BehaviorsCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Binge drinking among adults | 17.6% | 15.6–19.6 |
| Current cigarette smoking among adults | 10.8% | 9.6–12.3 |
| No leisure-time physical activity among adults | 17.6% | 15.6–19.7 |
| Short sleep duration among adults | 35.3% | 32.0–38.9 |
Health StatusCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Fair or poor self-rated health status among adults | 15.3% | 13.9–16.8 |
| Frequent mental distress among adults | 15.5% | 14.2–17.0 |
| Frequent physical distress among adults | 10.9% | 9.9–11.9 |
DisabilityCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Cognitive disability among adults | 13.0% | 11.7–14.3 |
| Any disability among adults | 26.1% | 23.9–28.5 |
| Hearing disability among adults | 5.9% | 5.4–6.5 |
| Independent living disability among adults | 6.2% | 5.6–6.9 |
| Mobility disability among adults | 10.4% | 9.4–11.5 |
| Self-care disability among adults | 2.8% | 2.6–3.1 |
| Vision disability among adults | 4.0% | 3.6–4.3 |
Health-Related Social NeedsCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Lack of social and emotional support among adults | 25.1% | 23.0–27.6 |
| Food insecurity in the past 12 months among adults | 12.3% | 10.9–13.7 |
| Received food stamps in the past 12 months among adults | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5 |
| Housing insecurity in the past 12 months among adults | 10.1% | 9.0–11.3 |
| Lack of reliable transportation in the past 12 months among adults | 7.1% | 6.4–7.9 |
| Loneliness among adults | 32.1% | 29.6–34.9 |
| Utility services shut-off threat in the past 12 months among adults | 5.8% | 5.1–6.6 |
Community & economyCensus ACS 5-Year · 2024 release · observed
| Measure | Value | US median (p10–p90) | AZ median (p10–p90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poverty rate | 4.4% | 10.6% (3.1–25.8%) n=32,364 | 12.8% (4.6–36.9%) n=396 |
| Uninsured 18–64 | 7.0% | 9.0% (1.5–24.3%) n=32,286 | 14.0% (5.0–32.9%) n=394 |
| No HS diploma (25+) | 3.4% | 7.9% (1.8–20.7%) n=32,505 | 9.3% (2.0–25.9%) n=397 |
| Bachelor's or higher (25+) | 31.9% | 23.3% (9.2–53.6%) n=32,505 | 23.8% (6.0–53.1%) n=397 |
| Unemployment rate (16+) | 4.7% | 3.9% (0.0–9.8%) n=32,274 | 4.8% (0.0–14.3%) n=395 |
| Households without a vehicle | 1.9% | 3.9% (0.0–12.5%) n=32,322 | 3.7% (0.0–14.3%) n=394 |
| Broadband subscription | 98.4% | 89.3% (75.1–97.1%) n=32,322 | 90.4% (57.1–97.2%) n=394 |
| Housing cost burden (≥30% income) | 22.4% | 23.7% (10.6–40.0%) n=32,322 | 25.5% (8.5–37.5%) n=394 |
| Homeownership rate | 81.9% | 78.7% (51.7–94.0%) n=32,322 | 76.3% (44.6–92.8%) n=394 |
| Crowded housing (>1 per room) | 2.6% | 1.3% (0.0–6.3%) n=32,322 | 3.3% (0.0–15.7%) n=394 |
| Foreign-born population | 9.6% | 2.6% (0.0–18.6%) n=32,553 | 7.6% (0.0–20.4%) n=397 |
| Single-parent households | 43.9% | 53.6% (37.3–74.1%) n=32,087 | 51.4% (30.6–79.7%) n=388 |
| Population 65+ | 12.6% | 19.4% (10.8–33.6%) n=32,553 | 19.0% (8.0–46.8%) n=397 |
| Median age | 36.9 yr | 42.2 yr (33.0–56.3) n=32,292 | 40.9 yr (30.0–62.5) n=394 |
| Median household income | $112,164 | $72,070 ($46,039–$118,707) n=30,318 | $69,137 ($39,000–$114,111) n=371 |
| Median home value | $459,900 | $222,200 ($100,300–$579,820) n=30,049 | $326,300 ($73,560–$591,760) n=363 |
| Median gross rent | $2,155 | $1,021 ($677–$1,912) n=25,670 | $1,303 ($683–$2,093) n=323 |
Life expectancyNCHS / RWJF USALEEP · model-based
| Measure | Value | US median (p10–p90) | AZ median (p10–p90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Life expectancy at birth | 77.8 yr ± 0.67 | 78.9 yr (74.7–82.8) n=31,308 | 78.5 yr (75.1–82.8) n=354 |
About the ± — it’s this estimate’s give-or-take (statisticians call it the standard error). The true life expectancy for this ZIP most likely falls within 0.67 years of 77.8, and it’s very unlikely to be off by more than twice that.
More ZIPs to explore ▾More ZIPs to explore ▴
How these lists were built: they draw only from ZIPs that have a published Score, so ZIPs with too little data to score are not listed. Distance-based lists use distance between ZIP boundaries with no state filter, so an out-of-state ZIP can appear. Statistically similar means a close match across the nine Score domains, not a demographic match: the measure is the cosine similarity between two ZIPs’ domain scores, taken over the domains both ZIPs have data for and only where that overlap covers at least six of the nine — and where no ZIP clears that minimum-overlap floor, that list is left out rather than filled with a weak match. How distance is measured