ZIP code
86045
in Tuba City, ArizonaPopulation 10,319
27.78/ 100
Ranked #31,132 of 32,066 US ZIPs (bottom 3.0%)
Ranked #351 of 394 Arizona ZIPs (bottom 11.0%)
Ranked #16 of 22 Flagstaff, AZ ZIPs (bottom 27%)
Ranks are modeled estimates — ZIPs a few hundred places apart are effectively tied.
What defines this ZIP
Metrics where this ZIP sits in the tails of the national distribution — the ones that most set it apart. Select any tile for its definition and methodology.
Mammography
54.5%
in the bottom 0.3% nationally
Higher is healthier
ST8thUS1stDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of women aged 50–74 who had a mammogram within the past two years.
Full methodology ›Tooth loss
38.4%
in the top 0.6% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST94thUS99thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults aged 65 and older who have lost all of their natural teeth.
Full methodology ›Colon-cancer screening
45.7%
in the bottom 0.9% nationally
Higher is healthier
ST10thUS1stDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults aged 45–75 who are up to date on colorectal-cancer screening.
Full methodology ›Vision disability
12.9%
in the top 1.4% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST89thUS99thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults who are blind or have serious difficulty seeing even with glasses.
Full methodology ›Independent-living disability
15.8%
in the top 1.8% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST90thUS98thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults who have difficulty doing errands alone, such as visiting a doctor’s office, because of a physical, mental, or emotional condition.
Full methodology ›Distance to a nursing home
54.3 mi
in the top 0.6% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST99thUS99thDefinition & source ›
The distance in miles from this ZIP’s edge to the nearest Medicare- or Medicaid-certified nursing home.
Full methodology ›Distance to an emergency room
55.4 mi
in the top 0.7% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST98thUS99thDefinition & source ›
The distance in miles from this ZIP’s edge to the nearest Medicare-certified hospital with an emergency room.
Full methodology ›Cognitive disability
23.9%
in the top 1.7% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST91stUS98thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults with serious difficulty concentrating, remembering, or making decisions.
Full methodology ›Distance to a hazardous-chemical facility
50.2 mi
in the top 0.8% nationally
Higher is healthier
ST97thUS99thDefinition & source ›
The distance in miles from this ZIP’s edge to the nearest facility that handles enough hazardous chemicals to require an EPA risk-management plan for accidental releases.
Full methodology ›Lack of transportation
23.4%
in the top 1.0% nationally
Lower is healthier
ST91stUS99thDefinition & source ›
The estimated share of adults who lacked reliable transportation in the past 12 months.
Full methodology ›Cross-source signals
Health need and barriers to care documented here
On our reading, this ZIP code carries the overlap at its severe level: severe means at least four of the six health-need readings and at least four of the six access barriers apply to the same place.
These are two separate readings of public data that both apply to this place — never a claim that one causes the other, never a severity score, and never a statement about any person who lives here.
Health need documented here
- People living in poverty
- Food insecurity
- Housing insecurity
- Adults reporting fair or poor health
Barriers to reaching care
- Distance to the nearest emergency room
- Thin local supply of doctors
- Thin local supply of pharmacies
- Limited home internet for telehealth
A reading appears below only where this ZIP code is among the most-affected 10% of US ZIP codes on it — one national bar, the same for every ZIP in the country.
See the full care-deserts analysis →The read
By the composite health measure, Tuba City, Arizona (ZIP 86045) ranks in the bottom 3.0% nationally (31,132nd) and the bottom 11.0% of Arizona (351st).
On the ground, a handful of readings define this area: modeled mammography resides in the bottom 0.3% nationally, and tooth loss registers in the top 0.6% nationally. Modeled colon screening rests in the bottom 0.9% nationally, and vision disability stands in the top 1.4% nationally. Modeled independent living disability lies in the top 1.8% nationally, distance to a nursing home lands in the top 0.6% nationally, and distance to an emergency room sits in the top 0.7% nationally. Modeled cognitive disability is in the top 1.7% nationally, and transportation settles in the top 1.0% nationally. On the better side, distance to a hazardous-chemical facility resides in the top 0.8% nationally.
To spell things out, distance to a hazardous-chemical facility is a plant handling large amounts of hazardous chemicals that must file an EPA risk-management plan for accidental releases. Close by, ZIP 86040, just across the boundary, ranks healthier overall. On other measures, the area also shows documented health need overlapping with barriers to reaching care, sitting in the most-affected 10% of US ZIP codes on several need measures and several access barriers.
What’s driving this score
Nine domains make up the ZipVitals Score — here is how this ZIP does on each, and how much each one counts. Compare it against the US, this state and the Flagstaff, AZ metro area.
Compared with the ZIP codes measured across all nine scoring domains — not with all US ZIP codes.
Lifting this score
Environmental Hazard
in the top 0.09%
14%
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 81%
5%
Holding it back
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 16%
21%
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 1%
16%
Preventive Care
healthier than 1%
13%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 11%
11%
Mental Health
healthier than 6%
8%
Disability
healthier than 1%
7%
Healthcare Access
healthier than 3%
5%
Lifting this score
Environmental Hazard
healthier than 97%
14%
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 82%
5%
Holding it back
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 28%
21%
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 9%
16%
Preventive Care
healthier than 11%
13%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 13%
11%
Mental Health
healthier than 6%
8%
Disability
healthier than 10%
7%
Healthcare Access
healthier than 9%
5%
Lifting this score
Environmental Hazard
healthier than 84%
14%
Holding it back
Chronic Disease Burden
healthier than 32%
21%
Social Need / SDOH
healthier than 26%
16%
Preventive Care
healthier than 16%
13%
Risk Behavior
healthier than 26%
11%
Mental Health
healthier than 21%
8%
Disability
healthier than 26%
7%
Climate / Disaster Risk
healthier than 21%
5%
Healthcare Access
healthier than 16%
5%
“Share” is how much of this ZIP’s score the domain accounts for. Percentages are rounded; higher is healthier in every domain. How the score works, and who it compares you with ›
Findings that name this ZIP
One of our published findings lists this ZIP code. Each finding compares one published measure against a stated benchmark, and names only the ZIP codes whose estimates are reliable enough to rank. See all surprising findings.
Clean environment, heavy chronic burden
Where the environment and chronic illness point in opposite directions
Environmental-hazard standing 99.9 (top 1%); chronic-disease standing 15.6 — 84 points apart, cleaner on the environment than it is on chronic illness.
Ranked #306 of the 18,187 ZIP codes this finding names, ordered by the gap from cleanest environment to heaviest chronic burden, highest first.
Nearby & similar ZIPs
Editorially selected — see how this ZIP compares to nearby and similar places.
Nearby
86020
Arizonashares a border
Score 22.93
Closest healthier
86040
Arizonashares a border
Score 45.27
Similar health profile
87328
Arizona99% similar profile
Score 20.98
How these were chosen: only ZIPs with a published Score appear — a nearby ZIP with too little data to score won’t. Nearby means closest by distance between ZIP boundaries, which can cross state lines. A similar health profile is a close match across the nine Score domains, not similar demographics. Distances are measured between ZIP boundaries — ZIPs that touch share a border. How distance is measured
Evidence
Every measure this page draws on, by source. Collapsed by default — the full data stays in the page for search engines either way.
Health OutcomesCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Arthritis among adults | 28.6% | 26.3–31.1 |
| High blood pressure among adults | 36.3% | 33.4–39.3 |
| Cancer (non-skin) or melanoma among adults | 6.3% | 5.8–6.9 |
| Current asthma among adults | 15.6% | 14.0–17.4 |
| Coronary heart disease among adults | 8.5% | 7.7–9.5 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among adults | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2 |
| Depression among adults | 24.0% | 21.2–27.0 |
| Diagnosed diabetes among adults | 17.3% | 15.6–19.2 |
| High cholesterol among adults who have ever been screened | 34.0% | 31.2–36.9 |
| Obesity among adults | 32.5% | 28.1–37.2 |
| Stroke among adults | 5.9% | 5.4–6.4 |
| All teeth lost among adults aged >=65 years | 38.4% | 33.3–43.1 |
PreventionCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Current lack of health insurance among adults aged 18-64 years | 14.1% | 12.0–16.5 |
| Taking medicine to control high blood pressure among adults with high blood pressure | 69.9% | 67.1–72.7 |
| Visits to doctor for routine checkup within the past year among adults | 69.2% | 65.9–72.5 |
| Cholesterol screening among adults | 77.8% | 75.4–80.1 |
| Colorectal cancer screening among adults aged 45–75 years | 45.7% | 41.4–49.9 |
| Visited dentist or dental clinic in the past year among adults | 42.2% | 38.9–45.3 |
| Mammography use among women aged 50-74 years | 54.5% | 47.3–61.3 |
Health Risk BehaviorsCDC PLACES 2022 / 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Binge drinking among adults | 13.5% | 11.6–15.8 |
| Current cigarette smoking among adults | 26.4% | 23.3–29.8 |
| No leisure-time physical activity among adults | 27.0% | 23.6–30.8 |
| Short sleep duration among adults | 40.7% | 36.3–45.2 |
Health StatusCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Fair or poor self-rated health status among adults | 34.2% | 30.9–37.7 |
| Frequent mental distress among adults | 24.1% | 21.7–26.5 |
| Frequent physical distress among adults | 21.2% | 19.2–23.5 |
DisabilityCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Cognitive disability among adults | 23.9% | 21.4–26.6 |
| Any disability among adults | 45.5% | 41.7–49.5 |
| Hearing disability among adults | 12.3% | 11.1–13.5 |
| Independent living disability among adults | 15.8% | 14.1–17.6 |
| Mobility disability among adults | 22.5% | 20.2–24.9 |
| Self-care disability among adults | 7.4% | 6.7–8.2 |
| Vision disability among adults | 12.9% | 11.7–14.2 |
Health-Related Social NeedsCDC PLACES 2023 · BRFSS
| Measure | Crude prevalence | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Lack of social and emotional support among adults | 35.7% | 32.2–39.7 |
| Food insecurity in the past 12 months among adults | 40.3% | 36.3–45.2 |
| Received food stamps in the past 12 months among adults | 34.4% | 30.6–38.9 |
| Housing insecurity in the past 12 months among adults | 27.4% | 24.3–31.0 |
| Lack of reliable transportation in the past 12 months among adults | 23.4% | 21.0–26.2 |
| Loneliness among adults | 37.2% | 33.6–41.2 |
| Utility services shut-off threat in the past 12 months among adults | 21.0% | 18.5–23.7 |
Community & economyCensus ACS 5-Year · 2024 release · observed
| Measure | Value | US median (p10–p90) | AZ median (p10–p90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poverty rate | 30.2% | 10.6% (3.1–25.8%) n=32,364 | 12.8% (4.6–36.9%) n=396 |
| Uninsured 18–64 | 18.5% | 9.0% (1.5–24.3%) n=32,286 | 14.0% (5.0–32.9%) n=394 |
| No HS diploma (25+) | 17.9% | 7.9% (1.8–20.7%) n=32,505 | 9.3% (2.0–25.9%) n=397 |
| Bachelor's or higher (25+) | 17.6% | 23.3% (9.2–53.6%) n=32,505 | 23.8% (6.0–53.1%) n=397 |
| Unemployment rate (16+) | 11.7% | 3.9% (0.0–9.8%) n=32,274 | 4.8% (0.0–14.3%) n=395 |
| Households without a vehicle | 10.2% | 3.9% (0.0–12.5%) n=32,322 | 3.7% (0.0–14.3%) n=394 |
| Broadband subscription | 51.0% | 89.3% (75.1–97.1%) n=32,322 | 90.4% (57.1–97.2%) n=394 |
| Housing cost burden (≥30% income) | 13.4% | 23.7% (10.6–40.0%) n=32,322 | 25.5% (8.5–37.5%) n=394 |
| Homeownership rate | 64.0% | 78.7% (51.7–94.0%) n=32,322 | 76.3% (44.6–92.8%) n=394 |
| Crowded housing (>1 per room) | 15.7% | 1.3% (0.0–6.3%) n=32,322 | 3.3% (0.0–15.7%) n=394 |
| Foreign-born population | 1.2% | 2.6% (0.0–18.6%) n=32,553 | 7.6% (0.0–20.4%) n=397 |
| Single-parent households | 36.0% | 53.6% (37.3–74.1%) n=32,087 | 51.4% (30.6–79.7%) n=388 |
| Population 65+ | 14.3% | 19.4% (10.8–33.6%) n=32,553 | 19.0% (8.0–46.8%) n=397 |
| Median age | 34.1 yr | 42.2 yr (33.0–56.3) n=32,292 | 40.9 yr (30.0–62.5) n=394 |
| Median household income | $50,844 | $72,070 ($46,039–$118,707) n=30,318 | $69,137 ($39,000–$114,111) n=371 |
| Median home value | $68,200 | $222,200 ($100,300–$579,820) n=30,049 | $326,300 ($73,560–$591,760) n=363 |
| Median gross rent | $851 | $1,021 ($677–$1,912) n=25,670 | $1,303 ($683–$2,093) n=323 |
Life expectancyNCHS / RWJF USALEEP · model-based
| Measure | Value | US median (p10–p90) | AZ median (p10–p90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Life expectancy at birth | 76.9 yr ± 1.01 | 78.9 yr (74.7–82.8) n=31,308 | 78.5 yr (75.1–82.8) n=354 |
About the ± — it’s this estimate’s give-or-take (statisticians call it the standard error). The true life expectancy for this ZIP most likely falls within 1.01 years of 76.9, and it’s very unlikely to be off by more than twice that.
More ZIPs to explore ▾More ZIPs to explore ▴
How these lists were built: they draw only from ZIPs that have a published Score, so ZIPs with too little data to score are not listed. Distance-based lists use distance between ZIP boundaries with no state filter, so an out-of-state ZIP can appear. Statistically similar means a close match across the nine Score domains, not a demographic match: the measure is the cosine similarity between two ZIPs’ domain scores, taken over the domains both ZIPs have data for and only where that overlap covers at least six of the nine — and where no ZIP clears that minimum-overlap floor, that list is left out rather than filled with a weak match. How distance is measured